I have traded futures for over 26 years. For Nexus v4.0, I loaded 6.5 months of MES data, tuned on one half, tested on the other, ran about 30,000 combinations, and threw out everything that didn't hold up. What survived is simple: Quad Rotation divergences, taken with the trend, held to 2R.
NinjaTrader backtest, MES 5-minute chart, Apr 20 – Nov 6, 2026, $1.24 commission per contract. Backtested results are not a guarantee of future performance.
I chose every setting using August–November only. April–July was locked away as the real test. Nexus v4.0 made money in both.
$200 risk per trade · lighter bars are partial months (Apr 20–30, Nov 1–6)
| Period | Trades | Win rate | Profit after commissions | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr–Jul (never used for tuning) | 107 | 48% | +$1,871 | +12.5R |
| Aug–Nov 6 | 81 | 51% | +$3,920 | +24.9R |
| All 6.5 months | 188 | 49% | +$5,791 | +37.4R |
R = your risk per trade. A full stop is -1R, the target is +2R. At $200 risk, +37.4R is about $7,500 before commissions.
Nexus v4.0 takes a two-stage Quad Rotation divergence on the 9-3, 40-4 or 60-10, only with the trend, and lets it work.
Stage 1: a 20-bar low with the band under 20. The band climbs back over 20. Stage 2: price retests the Stage 1 body low while the band holds above 20. At least 6 candles apart. Trigger: the band turns up. Sells are the mirror at 80.
No longs when price is below both the 200 SMA and VWAP. No shorts when it's above both. This was one of the few filters that helped in both halves of my testing.
4 ticks past the divergence low, but never closer than 2× ATR. Size is set from your dollar risk, so every trade risks about the same.
Placed the moment the trade fills: twice the distance of the stop. Winners pay for two losers, so it can be profitable winning only half the time.
If the target isn't hit within 3 hours (36 five-minute bars), Nexus closes the trade. Stalled trades are where profits leaked.
Every position is closed before the daily session break, and no new trade is opened in the last minutes before it.
Run it on an MES 5-minute chart. The status panel warns you if you're on any other timeframe.
Every one of these was tested over 6.5 months and failed on the held-back months or added nothing:
| Version (6.5 months, MES) | Chart | Apr–Jul | Aug–Nov | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old default (flags, combos, Safety Net) | 3-min | -$102 | +$1,639 | +$1,537 |
| Hold to target, no Safety Net | 5-min | +$982 | +$2,120 | +$3,102 |
| v4.0: 2R target + 3-hour time stop | 5-min | +$1,871 | +$3,920 | +$5,791 |
| Same rules on the 3-minute chart | 3-min | -$1,285 | -$1,102 | -$2,388 |
97% of persistent day traders lost money. Researchers followed everyone who started day trading Brazil's mini-index futures from 2013–2015. Of those who kept at it 300+ days, 97% lost money and only about 1% earned more than minimum wage — with no sign of improving with experience. (Chague, De-Losso & Giovannetti, Day Trading for a Living?)
Real edges are small. The S&P 500's first half-hour tends to predict its last half-hour, more strongly on volatile and news days (Gao, Han, Li & Zhou, Journal of Financial Economics, 2018). Small edges are easy to lose to commissions and over-trading.
That's exactly what Nexus v4.0 does — without emotion.
The companion indicator marks every Quad Rotation setup as it forms, with a recommended stop — for when you want to trade with your own judgment. Same license key, nothing extra to buy.
| Color | What it marks | Color | What it marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| White box | 9-3 divergence | Lime green box | Bull flag |
| Teal box | Quad divergence | Red box | Bear flag |
| Hot pink box | Running divergence | Aqua box | Flag + divergence combo, buy |
| Blue box | 40-4 divergence | Magenta box | Flag + divergence combo, sell |
| Purple box | 40-4 running divergence | Yellow line | Divergence line, Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| Gold box | 60-10 divergence | Dashed blue line | Recommended stop (Rec Stp) |
Profit and drawdown both grow with your risk. Choose your size from the drawdown your account can take — not the profit you want.
| Risk per trade | Max contracts | Avg size | 6.5-month profit | Per month | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200 | 7 | 3.7 MES | $5,791 | ~$890 | -$1,634 |
| $400 | 14 | 7.7 MES | $11,613 | ~$1,790 | -$3,386 |
| $600 | 20 | 11.6 MES | $18,173 | ~$2,800 | -$5,120 |
Same 188 backtested trades re-sized. Plan for live drawdowns 1.5–2× the backtest's. Above about 10 MES, ES is cheaper to trade.
Secure checkout. Instant delivery of your license key. Start on Sim.
MES, 5-minute chart. That's where it was tested and confirmed. The same rules lost money on 1, 2 and 3-minute charts and on range bars, so the status panel warns you if you're on anything else. Other markets (NQ, gold) haven't been confirmed yet.
Because each win is about twice the size of each loss (a 2R target). My old Safety Net version won 67% of its trades and made almost nothing. Win rate matters far less than the size of your winners versus your losers.
In testing, the worst drawdown was -$1,634 at $200 risk, and seven losses in a row happened. Plan for worse live. Judge it over months, not days.
R is your risk per trade. If you risk $200 and get stopped, that's -1R. Hitting the 2R target is +$400. Results in R work no matter what size you trade.
Almost all the old settings are gone, and the tested setup is built in. Remove the old Nexus from your chart, add v4.0 fresh, put it on an MES 5-minute chart, and check the status panel says 4.0.
Yes, as an option. Turn on Trade My Trendlines and Nexus also enters when price touches a line you drew and a rejection candle closes back off it, with the same 2R target and 3-hour time stop. It works on live bars only, so it can't be backtested and isn't part of the results above. It's off by default.
Yes. It unlocks with the same license key. The bot trades one setup; the Scanner shows every setup so you can trade with your own judgment.
No. These are backtested results on one market over 6.5 months. Live results will differ. Run it on Sim first.